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UK retailers in Christmas gamble as stock-outs could cost £1.87bn in lost opportunities this Christmas

New Research from CEBR Sponsored by NetSuite Reveals That Limited Supply and Poor Demand Planning is Driving Out-of-Stock Situations for Retailers in Vital Christmas Period

Key findings:

  • Retailers stand to lose around £1.87 billion in revenues by not being able to satisfy consumer demand
  • £1.7 billion could be lost to competitors this Christmas due to lack of product availability
  • A total of £147 million may be lost to retailers altogether, as consumers are unable to purchase out-of-stock products
  • More than half of retailers surveyed (66 percent) experienced stock-outs of particular products last Christmas, with these retailers not being able to fulfil an average of 21 percent of their Christmas orders due to a lack of product availability
  • Half of the top causes of stock-outs are entirely within the retailers' control: inaccurate demand planning, wrong retail channel mix and a lack of a holistic view of the business
  • Multi-channel retail may continue to challenge retailers this Christmas—20 percent of consumers surveyed say they plan to shop through a mobile device this Christmas, while 68 percent of consumers plan to spend more online compared to in-store

London—12 December, 2012—Research sponsored by NetSuite Inc. (NYSE: N), the industry's leading vendor of cloud-based financials / ERP software suites, today reveals that UK retailers could lose an estimated £147 million of revenue this Christmas due to missed sales opportunities through out-of-stock products, and an additional £1.7 billion to their competitors, as consumers shop elsewhere for their Christmas gifts. The research is based on economic models provided by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) and primary research with UK retail businesses, and a nationally representative study of 2,000 UK consumers conducted by Vanson Bourne.

The research found that the average retailer is losing 10 percent of its Christmas revenue to out-of-stock situations:

  • More than half of retailers surveyed (66 percent) were out-of-stock of particular products last Christmas, with clothing (52 percent), food and drink (44 percent) and electrical goods (44 percent) most commonly out-of-stock. With 41 percent of consumers surveyed stating that they plan to go to a competing website or retailer to get the Christmas gift they want, retailers are set to lose as much as £1.7 billion to competitors this Christmas.
  • On average, these retailers could not fulfil 21 percent of Christmas orders last Christmas due to a lack of product availability—leading to a potential overall revenue loss of £147 million through missed sales opportunities.

A truly multi-channel Christmas, but online product availability hampers retailers' revenues

p> UK consumers are now looking for a true, multi-channel experience this Christmas season, with the average consumer conducting 43 percent of their shopping in-store and 57 percent online. Shopping via mobile devices can play a key role in driving sales this festive season; almost 20 percent of consumers say they plan to shop through a mobile device this Christmas, and almost one in 10 of consumers under 35 said that their mobile device is their primary shopping tool. A quarter of consumers also plan to spend more on their Christmas shopping this year, with 68 percent expecting to spend more online compared to in-store.

Andy Lloyd, General Manager of Commerce Products for NetSuite said: "Delivering an omnichannel retail experience is a key challenge for retailers as consumer shopping habits continue to shift, both in-store and online. Stock-outs in particular cost more than lost revenue; they can tarnish a brand, especially over the highly emotionally charged festive season. Retailers need to take steps to avoid stock-outs wherever possible, and ensure their commerce systems allow them to quickly recover from misallocated inventory by helping customers to purchase products from alternate store locations or channels, such as eCommerce, when the store is out of stock."

The causes of stock-outs

When exploring reasons for stock-outs over the Christmas period, 52 percent of retailers surveyed put this down to inaccurate demand planning; 42 percent said that they did not have the right products available in the right place (online or in-store) at the right time; while 34 percent said that they lacked a holistic view of the business. In preparation for this Christmas:

  • Almost 20 percent of retailers have not ordered additional stock ahead of Christmas.
  • 10 percent of these retailers claim financial constraints to be the cause of lack of stock.
  • Over half of retailers have ordered additional stock across their entire product range.
  • 30 percent of these retailers have ordered additional stock across items that were popular last Christmas.

Andy Lloyd continued: "While it's great to see that a large proportion of retailers are prepared for Christmas this year, our research shows that many of the reasons behind out-of-stock products comes down to factors which are within retailers' control, with inaccurate demand planning affecting more than half of retailers alone."

"The figures from the CEBR demonstrate the cost of taking a gamble this Christmas when it comes to demand planning. To remain competitive, retailers must invest in their systems and processes to ensure that they have full business information transparency, greater customer insight and better demand planning capabilities. Being able to tightly align sales forecasts with inventory replenishment plans can eliminate stock-outs, improve customer satisfaction, whilst ultimately ensuring a retailer can remain competitive during such an important shopping period".

Colin Edwards, economist at CEBR, added: "The Christmas period represents the most lucrative revenue opportunity of the year for retailers, comprising one fifth of annual revenues on average. This means at this time of year it is more important than ever for retailers to manage their stock levels effectively, allowing them to successfully compete with their peers and capitalise on the potential revenues offered by Christmas."

NetSuite's SuiteCommerce platform is a new commerce-aware platform that provides a central system to manage all transactions and associated interactions with consumers and other businesses over multiple touchpoints (website, tablet, smart phone, social media site, in-store, etc.). SuiteCommerce delivers Commerce as a Service, which is a presentation independent, globally accessible capability supporting transactional channels, and providing sophisticated demand-planning and supply chain management capabilities. For more information, please click here.

About the research
The research is based on economic models provided by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) and primary research with 100 IT decision makers at UK retail businesses, as well a nationally representative study of 2,000 UK consumers conducted by Vanson Bourne.

About Vanson Bourne:
Vanson Bourne is a specialist research-led consultancy carrying out user research within a technology context. Vanson Bourne's clients range from start-ups to well-known companies that need expert guidance, delivering robust and credible research-based analysis.

About NetSuite
Today, more than 12,000 companies and subsidiaries depend on NetSuite to run complex, mission-critical business processes globally in the cloud. Since its inception in 1998, NetSuite has established itself as the leading provider of enterprise-class cloud ERP suites for divisions of large enterprises and mid-sized organisations seeking to upgrade their antiquated client/server ERP systems. NetSuite excels at streamlining business operations, as demonstrated by a recent Gartner study naming NetSuite as the fastest growing top 10 financial management systems vendor in the world. NetSuite has continued its success in delivering the best cloud ERP/financial suites to businesses around the world, enabling them to lower IT costs significantly while increasing productivity, as the global adoption of the cloud is accelerating.

 

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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
This press release contains forward-looking statements relating to expectations, plans, and prospects including expectations relating to the future growth of the retail and mobile commerce markets. These forward-looking statements are based upon the current expectations and beliefs of NetSuite's management as of the date of this release, and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements including, without limitation, the risk of continued adverse and unpredictable macro-economic conditions. All forward-looking statements in this press release are based on information available to the Company as of the date hereof, and NetSuite disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.